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The UN 2010 Population Projections: A Proposal

The United Nations Population Division on May 3rd released its 2010 world population projections. The study is the best available collection of current world demographic data, but the projections, as usual, are something of a parlor game. They involve questionable and highly optimistic assumptions about fertility and mortality. They ignore other studies that identify external forces that will shape population growth. They assume political …

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Proposed National Population Policy

Click here for a downloadable, printable PDF version  NPG believes that a national policy to turn U.S. population growth around is critically needed. (See the FORUM series in the Publications on our web site, www.npg.org.) In this paper, we offer a series of specific proposals as to how to accomplish that goal. We recognize the political resistances in the way of …

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A Vast Social Experiment: The Immigration Act of 1965

Click here for a downloadable, printable PDF version The United States had left regulation of immigration to the coastal states until the Supreme Court in 1875 declared that this was exclusively a national, not a state responsibility. Congress struggled through four decades to create a coherent policy that would bring under control the large-scale and essentially unregulated immigration that commenced …

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AWAKENING? (An NPG Internet Forum Paper)

Some major oil companies seem to be trying to persuade Washington that the energy transition is real and imminent and that it must be addressed. The tone of the academic debate is changing, and the imminence of the peak in oil production is now acknowledged by groups that have rejected the possibility in the past. However, most commentators don’t recognize …

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The End of Fossil Fuels: Part 2. Twilight or Dawn?

Click here for a downloadable, printable PDF version   Part 1 addressed the period of decline of fossil fuels, lasting perhaps through much of this century,and concluded that the fossil fuel era has been a brief spike that generated an unsustainable growth in population and, in the industrial world, consumption. We are entering an age of overshoot. Humankind may have …

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Ending Illegal Immigration: Make It Unprofitable

Click here for a downloadable, printable PDF version Illegal immigration, increasingly profitable for powerful interests,  has added as many as 12.5 million to the U.S. population  since 1960.  Ending the flow will demand a national consensus to fully fund enforcement, insulate it from pressures, and  mandate electronic verification of work eligibility. The public social costs of illegal settlement must be …

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Sustainability, Part II: A Proposal to Foundations

Click here for a downloadable, printable PDF version.  The nation grows, but public and political interest in the consequences is close to negligible.  That inattention makes the issue more, not less, important.  What is here proposed is the use of a systematic foresight process — a “Sustainability Project” — to bring population growth back into the national debate by publicizing …

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The Biologist and the Economist: Is Dialogue Possible?

Click here for a downloadable, printable PDF version Life Expectancy Drives U.S. and World Population Growth An NPG Forum Paper by Nathan Keyfitz June 1992 When population issues arise in government or the press, economists’ advice is regularly sought, even though modern post-Keynesian economics offers very little methodological help in dealing with secular change or limits. Biology is perhaps the …

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The Plight of the Chesapeake

Click here for a downloadable, printable PDF version The Plight of the Chesapeake An NPG Forum Paper The Optimum Population Series By Stephen Tennenbaum & Robert Costanza December 1990 This is the thirteenth in a series of NPG Forum papers exploring the idea of optimum population ö what would be a desirable population size for the United States? Without any …

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